Informal-Expertise
0x4b8c8f25a0ab91aa2bffe45de975f16fde2f9e5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$230.36
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-1.7K
Win rate
15%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
11525 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$184.39
$-85.93
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?
436 shares @ 5.8¢·now 4.8¢·exp May 21, 2026$20.92
$-4.44
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 18?
27692 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$13.85
$-13.85
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 19?
11312 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.66
$-9.78
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
61 shares @ 9.3¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$3.35
$-2.31
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 19?
100 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.50
$-2.24
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?
96 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.43
$-0.73
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?
23 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.24
$-0.19
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 18?
400 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.20
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$11.20May 18, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$3.00May 18, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$12.00May 18, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$2.69May 18, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$0.46May 18, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$8.46May 18, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$1.14May 18, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$0.31May 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$45.39May 18, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?$2.01May 18, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 19?$0.20May 18, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 19?$0.01May 18, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$30.00May 18, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$0.90May 18, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$22.00May 18, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 19?$0.73May 18, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?$6.15May 17, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?$5.97May 17, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?$6.17May 17, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?$0.01May 17, 23:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 15:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".