Embellished-Bullet
0x4bb254b64c93730e18c89759712f2b003647a656
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$27.8K
Total PnL
$-182.9K
Realised
$429.44
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.8K
$9.8K
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
2749 shares @ 95.3¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.7K
$77.44
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
9853 shares @ 19.5¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.1K
$195.65
- UNDER
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5
2041 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.0K
$1.0K
- NO
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
2111 shares @ 47.8¢·now 41.7¢·exp May 19, 2026$880.29
$-128.43
- YES
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$190.00
$-9.8K
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2508 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$13.80
$-136.70
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
3280 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$1.64
$-453.79
- YES
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?
32305 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-211.92
- YES
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
17777 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-103.78
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$11.08May 18, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$6.69May 18, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$26.71May 18, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$9.23May 18, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$9.52May 18, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$19.43May 18, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$9.57May 18, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$11.78May 18, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$19.28May 18, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$9.33May 18, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$8.54May 18, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$9.44May 18, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$19.72May 18, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$4.99May 18, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$9.36May 18, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$9.03May 18, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$9.53May 18, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$7.17May 18, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$9.31May 18, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$19.29May 18, 09:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $150.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 18:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".