Mysterious-Notoriety
0x4bcdb248bdad7357e03caab965022a9f8a25e98b
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$173.72
Total PnL
$-712.39
Realised
$36.01
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
202 shares @ 46.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$87.87
$-5.05
- YES
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?
489 shares @ 21.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$53.79
$-48.90
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
55 shares @ 53.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.07
$1.92
- YES
Anduril IPO before 2027?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.72
$-1.42
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
1 shares @ 21.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.27
$0.06
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?
392 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-149.74
- NO
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
369 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-298.89
- YES
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?
345 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-48.30
- YES
Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?
331 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-47.99
- YES
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?
129 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-41.28
Recent activity
- REDEEMSentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?$1.00May 8, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$3.03May 8, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Supha Xayprasith-Mays win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?$43.00May 8, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?$158.00May 8, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMTrove FDV above $60M one day after launch?$427.00May 8, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?$429.00May 8, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$1.56Apr 21, 09:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 30, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 29, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 28, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 27, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 26, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 25, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 24, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 23, 00:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 22, 00:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 20, 01:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $1.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 00:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 02:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".