Hearty-Bubble
0x4be79eef6863ea326ee1185103ccb2d2c5668e91
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
175
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$-19.0K
Realised
$-186.83
Win rate
70%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 175- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
800 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$716.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
450 shares @ 35.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$449.73
$291.90
- YES
Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
309 shares @ 15.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$308.73
$262.42
- NO
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
150 shares @ 59.2¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$147.97
$59.17
- NO
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
111 shares @ 92.2¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$106.56
$4.16
- NO
Will Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
100 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$100.00
$10.00
- NO
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
100 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$100.00
$0.10
- NO
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
100 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$100.00
$62.00
- NO
Will Portugal come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?
100 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$100.00
$0.20
- NO
Will Georgia come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?
100 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$100.00
$1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08May 18, 00:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$17.03May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 17, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$2.67May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.25May 16, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$35.00May 16, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$33.75May 16, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$6.50May 16, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$6.30May 16, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$9.00May 16, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$9.28May 16, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.08May 16, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$3.50May 16, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$21.14May 16, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$21.00May 16, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$35.00May 16, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$7.00May 16, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$7.00May 16, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$67.45May 16, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$40.00May 16, 19:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $22.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 16:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".