Frayed-Cream
0x4c06388ddfbdd65c9debfb9e9f3d2f54c17da2b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.50
Total PnL
$-187.18
Realised
$13.50
Win rate
100%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Darrell Jones win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Warren Hamm win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Chris Wood be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Iago Aspas be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 7?
2150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 6?
2046 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.63May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?$0.96May 16, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$3.77May 16, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.92May 16, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?$1.00May 16, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?$1.00May 16, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?$2.02May 16, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?$1.22May 16, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$0.08May 16, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?$20.31May 16, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?$23.15May 16, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?$22.87May 16, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?$28.45May 16, 03:24 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.14May 16, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$8.27May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$7.92May 15, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$8.11May 15, 23:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$19.76May 15, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$22.79May 15, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$21.55May 15, 16:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $14.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 12:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".