Puzzled-Model
0x4c09b15b777ba48b68f29d1e93911efe7d1762f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$260.12
Total PnL
$-35.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9316 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$190.98
$-10.01
- YES
Will Catanzaro achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?
215 shares @ 7.0¢·now 32.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$69.14
$54.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?
465 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
126 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
49 shares @ 38.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
27 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
21 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
21 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$8.25May 17, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$4.22May 17, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Palermo achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?$12.45May 17, 19:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2026?$0.27May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$0.31May 16, 22:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$4.20May 14, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$5.29May 14, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$5.26May 14, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$5.33May 14, 15:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$4.23May 13, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$24.25May 13, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$4.11May 13, 13:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$3.18May 11, 15:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $6.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 13:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".