Reckless-Drizzle
0x4c2b07aa5bac1cb119cb6258b0bc23f7600b8eb8
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$30.40
Total PnL
$-56.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- DOWN
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$7.00
$2.00
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.94
$0.94
- YES
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$3.15
$-1.85
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.52
$0.52
- YES
SBF released from custody in 2026?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.53
$0.53
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 6.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.48
$0.48
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.93
$-0.07
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$1.00Apr 17, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Apr 17, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$1.00Apr 15, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.00Apr 15, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.00Apr 15, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Apr 15, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 15, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$1.00Apr 15, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Apr 14, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Apr 14, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$1.00Apr 14, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Apr 14, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Apr 14, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$1.00Apr 14, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?$1.00Apr 14, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMQQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 13?$16.97Apr 14, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 13?$22.02Apr 14, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.00Apr 14, 01:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 13:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".