0x4c3932ee9b9b4a1fe7144c63011b054ecf32096b
0x4c3932ee9b9b4a1fe7144c63011b054ecf32096b
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$43.67
Total PnL
$-156.62
Realised
$-0.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
112 shares @ 40.1¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.93
$-18.07
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
87 shares @ 17.3¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.44
$-0.56
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
35 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.31
$-3.69
- YES
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?
181 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?
98 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
97 shares @ 45.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
87 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
77 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?$15.51May 15, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.62May 15, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$31.00May 15, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$46.09May 15, 03:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$17.88May 3, 05:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $20.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 01:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".