Aggressive-Nectar
0x4c58b938c1f4827cd5b9a61b4a0139a4e68013b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$12.7K
Total PnL
$1.6K
Realised
$0.65
Win rate
55%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
3177 shares @ 72.9¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.9K
$591.75
- NO
Kash Patel out by May 31?
1684 shares @ 83.3¢·now 91.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.5K
$129.73
- NO
Kash Patel out by June 30?
2200 shares @ 51.9¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$344.04
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
1500 shares @ 92.1¢·now 97.9¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.5K
$87.50
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
1613 shares @ 83.8¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.4K
$27.20
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
1410 shares @ 63.3¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$740.25
$-153.05
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
500 shares @ 38.5¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$394.86
$202.43
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 56.6¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$377.50
$94.50
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
500 shares @ 59.8¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$347.45
$48.45
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
299 shares @ 47.3¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$255.65
$114.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$11.77May 18, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$4.90May 18, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by June 30?$271.54May 18, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?$0.50May 18, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?$0.50May 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$30.14May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$193.94May 17, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?$0.69May 17, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$20.00May 17, 13:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$48.50May 16, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$92.00May 16, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$14.91May 16, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$7.09May 16, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$117.91May 16, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$20.00May 16, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$1.1KMay 16, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$874.20May 16, 02:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $282.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 15:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".