0x4c5c4323180bd26477e8dbc196b1c4762c1af81b
0x4c5c4323180bd26477e8dbc196b1c4762c1af81b
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.86
Total PnL
$-107.01
Realised
$-10.95
Win rate
0%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Barrett McNabb be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?
20 shares @ 3.8¢·now 1.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.20
$-0.57
- YES
Will Michael Pratt be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?
15 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.05
$-0.52
- YES
Will Larry Rubin be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?
20 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.04
$-0.73
- YES
Will Dorado Gaming win NACL 2026 Spring?
20 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.03
$-1.79
- YES
Will Citadel Gaming win NACL 2026 Spring?
20 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.03
$-1.79
- YES
Will Arthur Ellis be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
45 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.02
$-1.26
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in May 2026?
41 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.02
$-0.60
- YES
Will Desmond Bane win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
25 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.01
$-0.25
- YES
Will Jalen Johnson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
25 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.01
$-0.25
- YES
Will Scottie Barnes win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
25 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.01
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?$0.01May 18, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?$0.01May 18, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?$0.01May 18, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?$0.02May 18, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?$0.02May 18, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?$0.02May 18, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Fernandes be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.02May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jean-Philippe Mateta be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.00May 18, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?$0.01May 17, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thierno Barry be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.02May 17, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in May 2026?$0.02May 16, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jarrod Bowen be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.02May 16, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?$0.03May 15, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liam Delap be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.02May 15, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?$0.02May 15, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?$0.03May 14, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Sesko be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.02May 14, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shelly deZevallos be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?$0.05May 13, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?$0.01May 13, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolas Jackson be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.02May 13, 09:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 05:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".