Tricky-Sinuosity
0x4c8d958e19bcb6ea76572984196ee05084277b9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
81670 shares @ 6.3¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.2K
$-3.0K
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
13406 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$154.17
$-645.82
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$300.00Apr 24, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$500.00Apr 16, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMT20 World Cup: England vs India$0.00Mar 18, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$5.00Mar 17, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$0.00Mar 17, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$33.93Mar 17, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$5.00Mar 17, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$5.00Mar 17, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$5.00Mar 17, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$500.00Mar 17, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$100.00Mar 17, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$500.00Mar 17, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.1KMar 6, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: England vs India$150.00Mar 5, 16:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $655.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 16:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 15:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".