Ordinary-Impairment
0x4c917595fa9d3a9ab1c68a4cf740af68abc5b7f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$34.60
Total PnL
$5.45
Realised
$8.69
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
362 shares @ 1.2¢·now 4.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.01
$10.79
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?
55 shares @ 3.8¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.92
$0.82
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
1600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.40
$0.31
- YES
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.75
$0.65
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?
138 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in May 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in May 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in May 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?
10 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.20
$-0.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.11
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$1.70May 18, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$0.19May 18, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?$0.04May 18, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in May 2026?$0.10May 18, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?$0.27May 18, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?$0.03May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?$0.42May 18, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?$0.01May 18, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$2.20May 18, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?$0.02May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?$0.01May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$4.51May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?$0.03May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?$0.05May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?$0.15May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?$0.08May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$0.79May 18, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$0.20May 18, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$0.95May 18, 00:02 UTC
- REWARD$1.57May 18, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $0.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 20:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".