Strange-Icicle
0x4cb5ec560735efca23f76f2dd152b74bc6a9b536
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$145.2K
Total PnL
$-72.5K
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
112600 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$103.2K
$3.0K
- NO
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
15113 shares @ 80.1¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$12.6K
$507.77
- NO
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
8625 shares @ 81.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$7.7K
$665.08
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
80922 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.9K
$-2.0K
- NO
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
3000 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.8K
$179.99
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
264998 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.8K
$111.56
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
149826 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.3K
$-78.21
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4281 shares @ 52.6¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.9K
$-346.24
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14544 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.7K
$-239.98
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
174054 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$783.24
$-185.02
Recent activity
- YIELD$13.03May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$13.05May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$13.03May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$13.03May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$13.04May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$13.02May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$13.01May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$13.01May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$13.00May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$12.99May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$12.99May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$13.00May 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$13.01May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$13.02May 5, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00May 4, 21:52 UTC
- YIELD$8.21May 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$9.23May 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$8.20May 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$10.95May 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$10.36Apr 30, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $104.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".