Secondary-Affair
0x4cd091ac7140b2ad6948d44e9521653b2d115e51
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$469.48
Total PnL
$-653.75
Realised
$-6.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
3190 shares @ 10.4¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$207.32
$-124.19
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
3500 shares @ 6.7¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.75
$-149.25
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?
1000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$60.00
$0.00
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
3000 shares @ 4.7¢·now 1.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.00
$-106.00
- YES
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1000 shares @ 2.2¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.50
$11.50
- YES
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
3000 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.50
$-12.50
- YES
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in May 2026?
1000 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$9.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.00
$-31.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?
12 shares @ 2.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.40
$0.16
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$9.96May 18, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$1.80May 16, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$0.18May 16, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$0.80May 16, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$0.16May 16, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$0.60May 14, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$2.93May 14, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$0.30May 14, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$1.32May 14, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$0.65May 14, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$2.35May 14, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$1.26May 14, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$3.00May 14, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$4.80May 14, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$4.80May 14, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$3.00May 14, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$1.80May 14, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$6.00May 14, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$3.00May 14, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$9.60May 14, 14:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 16:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".