Partial-Grain
0x4cf5f0c8f1b11a43a65392aa7c3d1251d69f21c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
138
Open notional
$72.87
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$-0.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 138- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
45 shares @ 80.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$41.66
$5.43
- FNATIC
Valorant: Fnatic vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2
44 shares @ 73.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$28.27
$-3.73
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
235 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.93
$-2.46
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
353 shares @ 84.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-296.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
277 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-154.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
269 shares @ 53.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-145.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
269 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-137.05
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
214 shares @ 60.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-130.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
196 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-106.38
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
189 shares @ 54.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-102.50
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.75May 18, 10:53 UTC
- REWARD$2.85May 18, 10:51 UTC
- REWARD$1.19May 18, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Fnatic vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2$32.26May 15, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$5.30May 10, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$5.61May 10, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$36.52May 10, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschulp$21.13May 10, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha$11.28May 5, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?$66.94May 5, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?$66.25May 5, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$74.93May 1, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$22.61May 1, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$22.52May 1, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$25.65May 1, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$23.18May 1, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?$39.07May 1, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$10.93Apr 30, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$11.86Apr 30, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$21.99Apr 30, 17:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $13.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 09:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".