Primary-Airbag
0x4d4d23695ff2fc39332eb3bf1aa1d1d6a588b3f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$5.3K
Total PnL
$59.66
Realised
$-129.22
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
2128 shares @ 62.3¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.7K
$376.96
- NO
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
3205 shares @ 30.0¢·now 52.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.7K
$728.13
- NO
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1632 shares @ 78.4¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$807.93
$-471.15
- NO
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?
716 shares @ 32.7¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$268.39
$34.52
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
582 shares @ 59.4¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$267.94
$-78.05
- NO
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
500 shares @ 67.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$142.45
$-192.55
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
163 shares @ 65.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$108.39
$2.44
- NO
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?
233 shares @ 34.3¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$88.69
$8.52
- NO
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?
1262 shares @ 18.6¢·now 6.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$82.69
$-151.67
- NO
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
184 shares @ 34.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$48.79
$-13.81
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$104.95May 15, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cerebras' market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?$1.1KMay 14, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cerebras' market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?$73.74May 14, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cerebras' market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?$37.42May 14, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?$1.2KMay 14, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$12.94May 14, 12:40 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.60May 10, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $300M one day after launch?$634.85May 9, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMBillions FDV above $300M one day after launch?$100.00May 6, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMBillions FDV above $200M one day after launch?$2.0KMay 6, 03:19 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.62May 6, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillions FDV above $200M one day after launch?$2.0KMay 5, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$522.12May 5, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$518.00May 5, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLInk FDV above $500M one day after launch?$448.21May 5, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLInk FDV above $500M one day after launch?$22.41May 5, 07:02 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.65May 5, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $150M one day after launch?$191.82May 4, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $300M one day after launch?$3.22May 4, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.93May 4, 08:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $244.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 17:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 03:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".