Nice-Overshoot
0x4d5d8580cec21555d536890ef1db3dd6aecd0f79
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$8.18
Total PnL
$-23.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will Warren Buffett be 2nd richest person on December 31?
15 shares @ 96.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.18
$-6.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on April 18?
15 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on April 18?
15 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 14?
15 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on April 16?
15 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 16?
15 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on April 18?
15 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on April 15?
14 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on April 16?
14 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 16?
14 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 20?$9.99Apr 21, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 19?$10.99Apr 21, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on April 20?$10.99Apr 21, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 20?$11.99Apr 21, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 20?$11.99Apr 21, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 20?$11.99Apr 21, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on April 20?$12.99Apr 21, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 17?$13.99Apr 21, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 20?$0.24Apr 20, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 20?$0.12Apr 20, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 20?$11.88Apr 20, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 19?$9.99Apr 20, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 62°F or higher on April 19?$9.99Apr 20, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 19?$11.99Apr 20, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 20?$0.11Apr 20, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 20?$9.89Apr 20, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 20?$11.76Apr 19, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on April 20?$0.26Apr 19, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on April 20?$12.74Apr 19, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on April 20?$0.11Apr 19, 16:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $5.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 01:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 06:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".