Wavy-Stonework
0x4d5f2daa1dcd2d15b9857f857b5a81c805b2ddf5
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$41.18
Total PnL
$-17.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$11.10
$1.10
- YES
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.58
$-2.42
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$4.75
$1.75
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
214 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
117 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.57
$-5.42
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
75 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.54
$-0.11
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
214 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.39
$-1.61
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
57 shares @ 5.3¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.99
$-2.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.43May 13, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.46May 13, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.58May 13, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.58May 13, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.86May 13, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.64May 13, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$5.58May 13, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$5.15May 13, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$3.15May 13, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$3.15May 13, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.15May 13, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.14May 13, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.15May 13, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$21.02May 8, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.65Apr 15, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?$10.00Apr 15, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?$11.20Apr 15, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$7.00Apr 10, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?$10.00Apr 10, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?$10.00Apr 10, 16:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $8.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 17:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 21:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".