Closed-Naturalisation
0x4d91f6c1bc8001bff248bb432d1ba894554434fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$27.88
Total PnL
$-8.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 4?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$3.57
$0.00
- PAKISTAN
ODI Series Pakistan vs Zimbabwe, Women: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
1 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.00May 4, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 4?$3.57May 4, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.00May 4, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peacemaker" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$1.00May 4, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 41°F or below on May 5?$1.00May 4, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be less than 0.7%?$1.00May 4, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?$1.00May 4, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.00May 4, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.00May 4, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?$1.00May 4, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.00May 4, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.00May 4, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.00May 4, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 1: Any Player Rampage?$1.00May 4, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series Pakistan vs Zimbabwe, Women: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe$1.00May 4, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$1.00May 4, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.00May 4, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$1.00May 4, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May?$1.00May 4, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?$1.00May 4, 02:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $141.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 11:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 02:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".