Imaginative-Disagreement
0x4da57b71dff80e1395c8486702f3a93fdeb9f87d
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-186.90
Realised
$760.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
683 shares @ 73.1¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$488.17
$-11.10
- YES
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1201 shares @ 38.8¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$438.42
$-27.18
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
2187 shares @ 31.5¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$164.03
$-525.09
- YES
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
204 shares @ 49.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$104.08
$4.08
- YES
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
182 shares @ 55.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$99.09
$-0.91
- YES
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
128 shares @ 78.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$98.08
$-1.92
- YES
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
122 shares @ 81.8¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$96.63
$-3.37
- YES
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
137 shares @ 73.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$96.58
$-3.42
- YES
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
139 shares @ 72.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$96.51
$-3.49
- YES
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
144 shares @ 68.9¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$96.05
$-3.42
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-05-16?$484.42May 16, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-05-16?$197.58May 16, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-05-16?$101.38May 16, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gaziantep FK win on 2026-05-16?$25.55May 16, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Gaziantep FK 2 - 1 Rams Başakşehir FK?$25.68May 16, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$1.03May 11, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$347.96May 11, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5$96.60May 10, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-10?$101.89May 10, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?$101.32May 10, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)$605.44May 9, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-09?$416.43May 9, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-09?$91.16May 9, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-09?$133.22May 9, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)$101.02May 9, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)$303.06May 9, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-09?$21.40May 9, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$1.75May 8, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$2.05May 8, 07:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$1.64May 8, 07:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $113.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 11:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 18:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".