0x4db354446a4566fbf93e1977fa3fd987168eb748
0x4db354446a4566fbf93e1977fa3fd987168eb748
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$86.26
Total PnL
$26.10
Realised
$2.88
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.80
$13.80
- NO
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
17 shares @ 96.4¢·now 96.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$16.46
$0.07
- YES
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?
14 shares @ 19.1¢·now 68.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.61
$6.94
- NO
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
9 shares @ 62.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.33
$1.75
- NO
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
6 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.93
$0.18
- NO
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
5 shares @ 86.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$0.69
- NO
Discord IPO before 2027?
11 shares @ 18.5¢·now 45.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.97
$2.93
- YES
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
11 shares @ 41.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.81
$-1.70
- YES
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
15 shares @ 12.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.36
$-1.44
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$4.13Apr 26, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$4.92Apr 26, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$1.26Apr 24, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$1.32Apr 22, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?$3.99Apr 17, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.05Apr 15, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$9.92Apr 12, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$4.56Apr 12, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?$4.42Apr 10, 09:26 UTC
- SPLITWill Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?$40.00Apr 8, 15:52 UTC
- MERGEWill Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?$10.00Apr 1, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?$16.39Mar 28, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?$8.09Mar 26, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?$4.58Mar 26, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$4.30Mar 24, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYDiscord IPO before 2027?$2.04Mar 18, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?$2.46Mar 18, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?$2.05Mar 18, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft acquire TikTok?$1.80Mar 18, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.75Mar 18, 08:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $4.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 08:21 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 11:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".