Frightened-Desert
0x4dbdb0d16433fc57e8433342b095ecde4184f10d
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$61.94
Total PnL
$-199.78
Realised
$8.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Over 12 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
82 shares @ 70.3¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$60.44
$2.98
- NO
Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
5 shares @ 12.1¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.50
$0.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
800 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-96.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
456 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-18.24
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
400 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
385 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-48.56
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
300 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- NO
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?
295 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.24
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
156 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.51
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
83 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?$0.96Apr 9, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?$1.36Apr 9, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?$0.32Apr 9, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1.60Apr 8, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?$1.14Apr 4, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?$2.11Apr 4, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLOver 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?$7.58Apr 4, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$11.16Apr 3, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$22.56Apr 3, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$2.65Apr 3, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$17.06Apr 3, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLOver 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?$4.63Mar 19, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLOver 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?$1.90Feb 23, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?$0.55Feb 20, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLOver 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?$0.02Feb 17, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLOver 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?$1.07Feb 17, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$96.00Feb 6, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMMegaquake by January 31?$0.00Feb 5, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$0.00Feb 5, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown last 14 days or more?$0.00Feb 5, 13:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $8.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 21:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 20:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".