Rubbery-Airmail
0x4dc2ce59c39f7ca8155c88e88a635f0034d60933
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$13.1K
Total PnL
$-7.9K
Realised
$-220.21
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
6492 shares @ 81.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.4K
$41.54
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
9100 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.3K
$-45.50
- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
1963 shares @ 74.7¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.7K
$281.06
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 55.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$228.00
$63.00
- NO
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
201 shares @ 84.8¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$183.12
$12.54
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
169 shares @ 64.2¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$124.03
$15.75
- YES
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
200 shares @ 42.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$58.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
45 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$37.13
$-0.23
- YES
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?
40 shares @ 81.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.40
$-10.00
- YES
Will SpaceX have 14 or more launches in May?
173 shares @ 31.9¢·now 4.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.43
$-47.78
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Sporting CP finish 2nd in the Primeira Liga for the 2025-26 season?$19.42May 17, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$275.54May 7, 17:28 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.60May 7, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$776.43May 6, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$584.33May 6, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$3.59May 6, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$238.90May 6, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$137.89May 6, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?$28.65May 6, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$15.26May 6, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$238.90May 6, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$298.63May 6, 14:28 UTC
- MERGEWill Sporting CP finish 2nd in the Primeira Liga for the 2025-26 season?$32.59May 6, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.8KMay 6, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$2.5KMay 6, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$923.99May 6, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sporting CP finish 2nd in the Primeira Liga for the 2025-26 season?$10.04May 6, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benfica finish 2nd in the Primeira Liga for the 2025-26 season?$13.29May 6, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.1KMay 6, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$2.5KMay 6, 14:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $602.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 21:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 01:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".