Well-Worn-Workbench
0x4dc8b6f2a6bd705521438021fd4dd9f8b9f489b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$298.38
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 71.1¢·now 50.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$509.40
$-201.42
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
14872 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$431.28
$207.22
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
1713 shares @ 31.6¢·now 3.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$64.22
$-477.78
- YES
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
5600 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?
5000 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-550.00
- YES
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?
2447 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-396.49
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
1000 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-180.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
578 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?
200 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-69.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$112.00May 6, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$17.06May 6, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$36.20May 6, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$284.47May 6, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$329.18May 6, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$43.91May 6, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$1.16May 6, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$0.10May 5, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$0.04May 5, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$0.25May 5, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$0.42May 5, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$0.25May 5, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$1.41May 5, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$1.40May 5, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$1.40May 5, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$1.40May 5, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$28.25May 5, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$1.40May 5, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$1.40May 5, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$1.40May 5, 19:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $17.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 13:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 16:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".