Sane-Clavier
0x4df56d1a41ce5005ee21bbcf3ef74a720453c097
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$109.46
Total PnL
$-109.12
Realised
$-52.00
Win rate
18%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
19 shares @ 96.3¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.25
$-0.18
- YES
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
12 shares @ 75.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.98
$1.62
- NO
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
11 shares @ 39.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.37
$6.27
- NO
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
10 shares @ 65.5¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.91
$0.10
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
11 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.75
$-0.05
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?
11 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$6.15
$-0.05
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
13 shares @ 17.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.15
$2.99
- YES
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 58.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.05
$-1.05
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
111 shares @ 2.3¢·now 4.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.49
$1.94
- UNDER
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5
11 shares @ 41.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$4.24
$-0.16
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$0.02May 18, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.90May 18, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5$4.48May 18, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$0.98May 18, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?$6.28May 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$2.36May 18, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$2.97May 18, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$3.80May 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Borova by May 31?$3.08May 18, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$6.80May 17, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?$3.60May 17, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?$1.44May 17, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$3.80May 17, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLPisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5$1.49May 17, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLJuventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5$3.08May 17, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLComo 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5$6.93May 17, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLAS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5$6.68May 17, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLGenoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5$7.32May 17, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$2.55May 17, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Borova by May 31?$9.12May 17, 07:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 16:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".