Substantial-Adrenalin
0x4e1eaa5b58b6eac1f3a1ada6bbbeca090cdec5e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$443.54
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$461.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
1883 shares @ 31.9¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$310.78
$-289.22
- NO
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
109 shares @ 91.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$109.09
$9.09
- YES
Will Starmer say "Green" or "Greens" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
32 shares @ 37.9¢·now 54.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$17.23
$5.23
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
301 shares @ 66.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$6.44
$-193.56
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
3762 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
2491 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
2046 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-218.00
- YES
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
1004 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
692 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
289 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Investment" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$6.84May 14, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Green" or "Greens" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$12.30May 12, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$103.12May 11, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$100.33May 11, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$202.68May 11, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$513.00May 11, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.08May 8, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Investment" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$12.39May 8, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$165.00May 8, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$781.26May 8, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$101.58May 5, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$513.60May 5, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Monday news conference?$30.00Apr 6, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$679.69Apr 6, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "Board of Peace" on Truth Social this week?$0.00Mar 4, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$20.00Mar 4, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$25.00Mar 4, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?$25.00Mar 4, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$20.00Mar 4, 00:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "Board of Peace" on Truth Social this week?$112.22Mar 3, 22:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $163.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 22:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 08:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".