Optimal-Discipline
0x4e2059e3e3bb2c31a9a4a0748e9278282a09ccb8
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$433.73
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
5120 shares @ 36.5¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$409.60
$-1.5K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
110 shares @ 54.1¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.25
$-40.25
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.88
$-5.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.37Apr 13, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.00Apr 13, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.00Apr 13, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$219.97Apr 12, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Apr 9, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$50.00Apr 8, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?$100.00Apr 8, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$54.00Mar 1, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$5.50Mar 1, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$10.00Feb 25, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$273.69Feb 10, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$30.64Feb 9, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$18.76Feb 9, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$61.05Feb 9, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.71Feb 6, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.71Feb 6, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.10Feb 5, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.10Feb 5, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.10Feb 5, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$7.09Feb 5, 15:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $47.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 11:45 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 09:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".