0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7
0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$286.7K
Total PnL
$197.7K
Realised
$211.2K
Win rate
81%
135 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
30332 shares @ 82.1¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.5K
$1.6K
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
25472 shares @ 86.9¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.7K
$2.5K
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
26545 shares @ 55.3¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$21.6K
$6.9K
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
20330 shares @ 81.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.4K
$1.8K
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
15043 shares @ 16.2¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.9K
$10.5K
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
12782 shares @ 81.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.1K
$665.72
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
11188 shares @ 85.8¢·now 91.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.3K
$653.05
- YES
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
12159 shares @ 38.9¢·now 83.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.2K
$5.5K
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?
9202 shares @ 84.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.1K
$1.3K
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
11889 shares @ 21.1¢·now 70.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.3K
$5.8K
Recent activity
- YIELD$9.03May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$9.04May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$9.03May 16, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.00May 15, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$9.03May 15, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: April$1.6KMay 14, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?$631.03May 14, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?$3.2KMay 14, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$2.00May 14, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?$0.00May 14, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$0.00May 14, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$22.5KMay 14, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$0.00May 14, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?$6.67May 14, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?$0.00May 14, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?$0.00May 14, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.00May 14, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$269.99May 14, 03:49 UTC
- YIELD$9.01May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$9.03May 13, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 11:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 135 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".