Exalted-Rebel
0x4e2718ffdade07987dcf0ceb1445c45e93ef7ae6
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-286.86
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
600 shares @ 82.2¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$519.00
$26.00
- NO
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
405 shares @ 97.5¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$391.76
$-3.24
- NO
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?
300 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$299.55
$3.85
- NO
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
300 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$282.00
$6.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
218 shares @ 91.7¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$212.47
$12.47
- NO
Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?
214 shares @ 93.6¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$206.98
$6.98
- NO
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?
214 shares @ 93.5¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$201.49
$1.49
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
200 shares @ 75.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$155.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
242 shares @ 41.3¢·now 51.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$123.55
$23.55
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
1728 shares @ 21.6¢·now 6.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$114.89
$-257.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$203.26May 16, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$442.11May 16, 23:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$220.80May 15, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$102.35May 15, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$102.00May 15, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$200.20May 15, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$195.19May 15, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$55.38May 15, 11:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?$100.11May 9, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$200.66May 9, 10:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 9, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $182.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".