Hoarse-Pulley
0x4e56396422e5d81744e12ce1c9fbe1287e63c99d
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$19.74
Total PnL
$-225.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?
130 shares @ 7.7¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.31
$-3.69
- YES
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
53 shares @ 15.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.27
$-3.73
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
43 shares @ 11.5¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.63
$-1.37
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
28 shares @ 17.9¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.49
$-1.51
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
29 shares @ 17.2¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.04
$-2.96
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
455 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
227 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
204 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$4.00Mar 18, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$5.00Mar 18, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 9?$9.52Mar 18, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$6.00Mar 9, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$5.00Mar 9, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 9, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 9, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 9, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.00Mar 9, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 9?$2.00Mar 9, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$4.00Mar 9, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$0.00Mar 9, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$5.00Mar 9, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$5.22Mar 9, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$5.00Mar 9, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$1.57Mar 9, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$1.00Mar 9, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Mar 9, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$10.00Mar 9, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$10.00Mar 9, 15:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $7.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 23:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 08:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".