Awful-Inheritance
0x4e57d8b68e8346aa5e838887eecef40edfddf99f
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$4.4K
Total PnL
$-568.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
927 shares @ 86.3¢·now 83.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$770.99
$-29.00
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
701 shares @ 85.6¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$592.47
$-7.53
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
332 shares @ 90.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$307.17
$7.17
- NO
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
336 shares @ 89.3¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$297.21
$-2.79
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
354 shares @ 84.7¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$265.58
$-34.42
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
322 shares @ 62.1¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$217.37
$17.37
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
214 shares @ 93.3¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$210.50
$10.50
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
217 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$201.44
$1.44
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
247 shares @ 80.9¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$174.32
$-25.68
- YES
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
161 shares @ 62.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$147.58
$47.58
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 17, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves $54.35May 16, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Timberwolves$75.76May 16, 07:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$227.49May 15, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$6.64May 15, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$739.99May 15, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$101.05May 15, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$100.93May 15, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves $50.12May 15, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Timberwolves$50.51May 15, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$101.28May 15, 08:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$29.87May 14, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$57.62May 14, 10:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$100.56May 13, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$50.56May 13, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$100.72May 13, 22:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $120.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".