Instructive-Patriarch
0x4e645fb82ea6cc2d3bf51ad11ac799a556f2fc32
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$11.6K
Total PnL
$-9.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
2976 shares @ 84.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.8K
$252.98
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
9542 shares @ 10.5¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$240.47
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
8016 shares @ 49.9¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.0K
$-3.0K
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1417 shares @ 70.6¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$998.86
$-1.14
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
2175 shares @ 23.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$511.15
$11.15
- YES
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
7662 shares @ 13.1¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$498.04
$-501.95
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
4291 shares @ 11.7¢·now 11.6¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$495.56
$-4.44
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
4545 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$431.82
$-68.18
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
8772 shares @ 5.7¢·now 4.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$416.67
$-83.32
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
21041 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$284.06
$-65.92
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.29May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.29May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.29May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.29May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 in May?$96.39May 14, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out by June 30?$64.53May 14, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?$32.06May 14, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$57.40May 14, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$61.60May 14, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?$105.32May 14, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?$263.30May 14, 16:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.29May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$216.56May 13, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.01May 13, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$268.53May 13, 13:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$7.92May 12, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$11.35May 12, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$4.84May 12, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$109.77May 12, 19:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $198.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 18:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".