Arid-Personnel
0x4e7e5a4e07f1084aa4e4ed874ba0879ee5f45ba1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$928.75
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
3000 shares @ 14.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$645.00
$225.00
- YES
Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
2000 shares @ 4.4¢·now 10.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$215.00
$127.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
4093 shares @ 24.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$55.26
$-927.09
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
600 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.50
$-0.30
- YES
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
10709 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?
237 shares @ 40.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-95.71
- YES
Fluent FDV above $150M one day after launch?
99 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-60.57
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.20May 15, 05:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 8, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$411.55May 7, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 7, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$366.07May 6, 03:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 6, 00:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.62May 5, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$805.11May 4, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$1.58May 4, 06:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $112.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 21:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".