Lucky-Outlay
0x4e8c90b145302ecdea2731fceb588f8a4e0a79bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
90
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-5.9K
Realised
$-69.36
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- UNDER
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5
377 shares @ 53.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$198.11
$-1.89
- OVER
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
320 shares @ 65.7¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$190.17
$-19.83
- YES
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?
153 shares @ 72.1¢·now 71.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$109.09
$-0.91
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?
111 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$99.44
$-0.56
- UNDER
Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
159 shares @ 63.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$96.08
$-3.92
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
164 shares @ 61.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$95.90
$-4.10
- OVER
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
109 shares @ 92.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$91.30
$-8.70
- UNDER
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
148 shares @ 54.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$77.78
$-2.22
- UNDER
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
136 shares @ 58.9¢·now 57.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$77.47
$-2.53
- YES
Will SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
308 shares @ 26.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$75.38
$-4.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score$40.52May 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?$30.70May 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYVillarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5$50.62May 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5$40.44May 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5$50.45May 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Torino FC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?$30.72May 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTorino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5$50.48May 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?$110.92May 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$40.96May 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5$81.10May 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5$50.57May 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5$40.31May 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?$50.49May 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD end in a draw?$40.88May 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?$30.70May 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYReal Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5$60.71May 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYValencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5$80.99May 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYReal Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5$101.11May 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5$202.82May 18, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Levante UD win on 2026-05-17?$655.63May 17, 23:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $70.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 09:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".