Daring-Speech
0x4eb85167e92a59b671478bbdaaa901551a6a9231
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$35.58
Total PnL
$-14.11
Realised
$8.02
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?
38 shares @ 72.9¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.87
$-2.62
- NO
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
9 shares @ 75.9¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.77
$-1.23
- NO
Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?
3 shares @ 77.7¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?
2 shares @ 57.7¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.22
$-0.00
- NO
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
356 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-7.71
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
24 shares @ 42.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.28
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$2.13May 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.01May 18, 04:58 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$2.73May 18, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.02May 18, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.06May 18, 04:57 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$2.00May 18, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.02May 18, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.05May 18, 04:55 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$2.00May 18, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.03May 18, 04:55 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.00May 18, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.03May 18, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$0.44May 18, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.03May 18, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.02May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$0.65May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$0.82May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$0.95May 18, 04:52 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$0.33May 18, 04:52 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$0.11May 18, 04:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $0.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 18:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".