Worse-Egg
0x4ec8b0d469bab75917c70d0ffa4439b15c1396a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$640.21
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-32.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
500 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$500.11
$14.50
- YES
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?
310 shares @ 24.2¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$63.55
$-11.40
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
200 shares @ 26.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$43.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
121 shares @ 41.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.15
$-31.46
- YES
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?
88 shares @ 56.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.40
$-33.88
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
714 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-49.98
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
700 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-199.50
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
603 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-500.49
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$280.25May 8, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$3.28May 8, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$202.07May 8, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$49.61May 8, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?$47.86May 6, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?$1.42May 6, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?$19.04May 6, 01:44 UTC
- REWARD$1.15May 6, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?$5.96May 5, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?$35.80May 5, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$39.00May 4, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$13.00May 4, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?$10.68May 4, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?$3.57May 4, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$436.00May 1, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$465.05Apr 28, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$98.22Apr 24, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$1.74Apr 24, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$20.38Apr 23, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$0.47Apr 23, 20:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $59.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 18:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 08:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".