Posh-Laugh
0x4ed3de900a1829d796ff2c2f8de5620139bd343c
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$717.80
Total PnL
$-112.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
600 shares @ 37.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$291.00
$69.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
2000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$250.00
$50.00
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
1000 shares @ 10.1¢·now 8.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$84.00
$-16.60
- YES
Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
2000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$50.80
$-109.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$42.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
5300 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-62.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9AM ET
125 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-40.64
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.06May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$0.98May 16, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$0.93May 16, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$100.00May 16, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$11.00May 16, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$1.11May 16, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$3.33May 16, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$0.78May 16, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$0.11May 16, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$84.70May 15, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$222.00May 11, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9AM ET$25.69May 1, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9AM ET$16.93May 1, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$756.20Apr 29, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$258.10Apr 29, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$278.32Apr 29, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$0.00Apr 25, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$0.00Apr 25, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$0.00Apr 24, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$73.60Apr 23, 19:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $221.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 03:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".