Knotty-Event
0x4ef861fb5298b6ecb2fcded320eb962894bb1d13
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$84.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1333 shares @ 75.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.0K
$33.01
- YES
SBF released from custody in 2026?
4091 shares @ 6.1¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$286.39
$36.39
- YES
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
175 shares @ 76.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$147.88
$14.88
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.11May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Apr 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $250.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".