Trusting-Wish
0x4f0017d7ed4b42a9c68831f0aecb3508dbf17add
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$4.5K
Total PnL
$-86.27
Realised
$871.68
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
3577 shares @ 79.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.1K
$269.88
- NO
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
774 shares @ 82.6¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$757.40
$118.04
- NO
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$370.00
$170.00
- NO
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
253 shares @ 88.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$244.73
$21.67
- NO
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?
21 shares @ 80.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.65
$3.61
- NO
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
3655 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-528.78
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1500 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-69.00
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?
1416 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-379.37
- NO
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
1000 shares @ 56.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-564.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$4.33May 18, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$4.85May 18, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?$101.00May 17, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$35.81May 17, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?$1.8KMay 17, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$155.26May 16, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?$19.36May 16, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?$0.49May 16, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$2.7KMay 16, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$69.22May 16, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?$96.50May 16, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$276.00May 16, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?$97.40May 16, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?$15.60May 16, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?$547.14May 16, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?$5.00May 16, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?$22.12May 16, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sumy by June 30?$393.20May 16, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?$65.33May 13, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?$702.00May 13, 08:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $188.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".