Subtle-Productivity
0x4f07097d241033d5f701981a5039e85890432036
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$153.60
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
574 shares @ 22.0¢·now 15.2¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$86.97
$-39.33
- YES
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?
533 shares @ 18.4¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$66.63
$-31.76
- YES
Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
1135 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-113.96
- NO
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
808 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-250.43
- YES
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
693 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-207.57
- YES
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?
590 shares @ 59.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-350.29
- YES
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
306 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-58.14
- YES
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
272 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-22.01
- YES
Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
110 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-37.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.0KMay 17, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$259.07May 16, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?$101.60May 13, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$9.31May 11, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$292.87May 11, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$31.05May 7, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$88.03Apr 30, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$58.14Apr 27, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$9.56Mar 25, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?$350.29Mar 25, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$198.01Mar 25, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$37.20Mar 25, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Voice of Hind Rajab" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.00Mar 21, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.00Mar 21, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.00Mar 21, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Pillion" win Outstanding British Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$0.00Mar 21, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sombr win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.00Mar 21, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Perfectly a Strangeness win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 21, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district?$0.00Mar 21, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Severance win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.00Mar 21, 15:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $137.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 23:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 02:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".