Fearful-Air
0x4f19928e98ece94a082f276b9021534748e14f89
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$151.92
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
152 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$151.92
$-0.08
- OILERS
Oilers vs. Canucks
2458 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- BLACKHAWKS
Blackhawks vs. Kraken
500 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-215.00
- 76ERS
Hawks vs. 76ers
236 shares @ 50.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-119.56
- UTAH
Texas Tech vs. Utah
22 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-13.41
- RUTGERS
Iowa vs. Rutgers
20 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-9.22
- YANKEES
Yankees vs. Orioles
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-10.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$152.01Apr 30, 23:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 2, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$137.87Apr 1, 08:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 1, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$138.00Mar 31, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?$138.85Mar 20, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?$139.00Mar 19, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$141.85Mar 14, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$142.00Mar 11, 01:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jan 13, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.8KJan 12, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.8KJan 12, 00:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.7KJan 12, 00:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jan 12, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.7KJan 11, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.9KJan 11, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.9KJan 11, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.9KJan 11, 01:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jan 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.9KJan 10, 12:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 20:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 23:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".