Grown-Fence
0x4f1d5ae26fc31472966e951af3183308736d8de2
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$50.52
Total PnL
$-18.6K
Realised
$-1.0K
Win rate
33%
165 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
4009 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.01
$-132.23
- YES
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
4341 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.17
$-147.52
- YES
Will Nicole Lee Ethington be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
4059 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.03
$-200.94
- YES
Will Robert Wells Jr. be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
4050 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.02
$-200.47
- YES
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2719 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.36
$-95.75
- YES
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2719 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.36
$-95.75
- YES
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2719 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.36
$-95.75
- YES
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2719 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.36
$-95.75
- YES
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2719 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.36
$-95.75
- YES
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2719 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.36
$-95.75
Recent activity
- CONVERSIONDaegu Mayoral Election Winner$70.25May 18, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$18.28May 18, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.03May 18, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$53.76May 18, 12:14 UTC
- CONVERSIONBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms$3.24May 18, 12:14 UTC
- CONVERSIONBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms$9.08May 18, 12:14 UTC
- CONVERSIONBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms$0.65May 18, 12:14 UTC
- CONVERSIONBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms$188.03May 18, 12:14 UTC
- MERGE2026 Balance of Power: Other$13.03May 18, 12:14 UTC
- MERGE2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$4.58May 18, 12:14 UTC
- MERGE2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House$12.45May 18, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$108.54May 18, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$137.66May 18, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$161.19May 18, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: Other$199.52May 18, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House$198.04May 18, 12:14 UTC
- CONVERSIONSpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)$0.36May 18, 12:13 UTC
- CONVERSIONSpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)$0.76May 18, 12:13 UTC
- CONVERSIONSpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)$0.42May 18, 12:13 UTC
- CONVERSIONSpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)$0.12May 18, 12:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $69.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 12:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 165 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".