Soft-Flugelhorn
0x4f23a0976493be385412ce9a6b93841ee2c090db
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$43.7K
Total PnL
$-5.1K
Realised
$2.6K
Win rate
75%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
12317 shares @ 76.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.4K
$956.74
- NO
Will Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?
6530 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 21, 2026$6.5K
$3.90
- YES
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
5059 shares @ 78.8¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.8K
$816.38
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?
2607 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$2.6K
$7.10
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
12383 shares @ 31.3¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.4K
$-1.5K
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
5595 shares @ 61.2¢·now 35.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$-1.4K
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 67.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$350.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
9341 shares @ 20.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$-233.52
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
4527 shares @ 49.7¢·now 35.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$-643.58
- YES
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
1334 shares @ 68.5¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$247.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.31May 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$5.16May 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$387.43May 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.39May 18, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$494.50May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$54.67May 18, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$51.63May 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$51.63May 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$51.63May 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$51.63May 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$51.63May 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$51.63May 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$51.63May 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$51.63May 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$54.56May 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$15.07May 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$75.92May 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$75.92May 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$75.92May 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$75.92May 18, 06:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $96.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 06:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".