Robust-Footnote
0x4f52ff02c28e94f35ce3e41600e0b32d8b6ef489
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$0.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
290 shares @ 84.5¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$255.12
$10.09
- NO
Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?
241 shares @ 89.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$222.94
$6.70
- NO
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?
225 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$221.57
$21.57
- NO
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?
203 shares @ 86.4¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$170.26
$-4.83
- NO
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
150 shares @ 66.8¢·now 65.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.50
$-2.69
- NO
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
140 shares @ 54.0¢·now 52.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$73.22
$-2.38
- NO
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
73 shares @ 67.9¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.80
$-11.58
- NO
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
40 shares @ 83.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.77
$-1.61
- YES
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
37 shares @ 66.1¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.65
$-0.98
- YES
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
55 shares @ 58.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.67
$-16.23
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$166.00Apr 2, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$61.62Apr 2, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$3.00Apr 2, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$4.40Apr 2, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$3.00Apr 2, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$5.00Apr 2, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$48.00Apr 2, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$5.00Apr 2, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$108.00Apr 2, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$199.80Apr 2, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$255.06Apr 2, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $56 on the final trading day of March 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of March 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar$0.00Apr 1, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar$0.00Apr 1, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $56 on the final trading day of March 2026?$7.56Apr 1, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of March 2026?$27.56Apr 1, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar$321.36Apr 1, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jordan Stolz (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$0.00Mar 20, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMKristi Noem out by March 31?$0.00Mar 20, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $42.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 20:26 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 12:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".