Charming-Macro
0x4f55a89498a2fc1bf88b1f62131816a8a65d4731
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$386.75
Total PnL
$-617.29
Realised
$-3.85
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
448 shares @ 33.5¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$141.27
$-8.73
- YES
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?
271 shares @ 7.4¢·now 19.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$53.95
$33.95
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
188 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$25.31
$-4.69
- YES
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
313 shares @ 16.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.44
$-26.56
- YES
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.50
$0.50
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
174 shares @ 11.5¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.74
$-0.26
- YES
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?
256 shares @ 3.9¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.53
$6.53
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.13
$3.13
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
238 shares @ 4.2¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.50
$2.50
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
43 shares @ 23.3¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.94
$0.94
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.14May 17, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15May 17, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.53May 17, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.28May 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gwendolyn Beck be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?$10.32May 17, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?$20.00May 17, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 17, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuban regime falls in 2026?$20.00May 17, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in May?$10.00May 17, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 17, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 17, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 17, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTucker Carlson federally charged?$5.20May 17, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$10.00May 17, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$10.00May 17, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$30.00May 17, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$157.46May 17, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$119.48May 17, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Indonesia recognize Israel by June 30?$1.11May 17, 16:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $24.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".