Smooth-Caribou
0x4f5bb6dcf70fb8312b2e31c10472ba082f27c6b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-205.05
Realised
$433.72
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
7361 shares @ 28.6¢·now 28.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$2.1K
$-6.42
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
213 shares @ 47.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$98.94
$-1.06
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
294 shares @ 34.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$75.00
$-25.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
2284 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
1238 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-293.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
1200 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?
323 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?
240 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6?
135 shares @ 42.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-57.00
- YES
Iran strike on US military by January 31?
128 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.30
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$201.50May 13, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$102.87May 13, 11:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$100.00May 10, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$102.12May 10, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$507.69May 10, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$100.00Apr 2, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$222.00Apr 2, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$224.00Apr 1, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$20.00Mar 31, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win on 2026-03-31?$20.53Mar 31, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$41.00Mar 31, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win on 2026-03-31?$42.30Mar 31, 19:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $151.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 11:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".