Overdue-Testament
0x4f8b81702ddf94c8a34ea69605ce4536a6a3376c
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$42.55
Total PnL
$-44.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Maxine Durand win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?
24 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$23.71
$-0.05
- YES
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
20 shares @ 98.9¢·now 94.2¢·exp May 6, 2026$18.84
$-0.94
- NO
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 30, 2026?
21 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.37
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on February 16?
10 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C on February 16?
10 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
- NO
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Maxine Durand win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?$23.77May 18, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$23.00May 12, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$22.78May 11, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill CZ post 40-59 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$16.00May 8, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 40-59 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$15.85May 7, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$19.79May 5, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?$18.00May 5, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?$17.83May 3, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?$15.77Apr 29, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 24?$23.72Apr 24, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 24?$23.28Apr 23, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMAny of the stolen paintings recovered by April 15?$0.00Apr 19, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMAny of the stolen paintings recovered by April 15?$14.99Apr 19, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLDeepSeek V4 released by April 15?$24.95Apr 16, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by April 15?$24.70Apr 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny of the stolen paintings recovered by April 15?$14.85Apr 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$17.84Apr 12, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$17.46Apr 11, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?$18.00Apr 9, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3?$23.76Apr 7, 05:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $17.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 01:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".