Grizzled-Geometry
0x4fa5a28cd9e3ecfe93d80c46346deae4d3342380
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-127.07
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
975 shares @ 81.3¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$647.89
$-144.79
- AFGHANISTAN
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
871 shares @ 53.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$435.50
$-26.13
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
419 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$418.79
$0.21
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
619 shares @ 66.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$411.63
$3.09
- NO
Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
304 shares @ 10.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$118.56
$88.16
- NO
Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
54 shares @ 44.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$48.60
$24.84
- YES
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
29 shares @ 39.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$11.16
$-0.14
- YES
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 85.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.46
$-1.09
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$0.10
$-0.61
- YES
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 3.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.02
$-0.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)$894.00Apr 15, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?$102.96Apr 11, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?$27.50Apr 11, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?$154.25Apr 11, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?$92.43Apr 10, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?$93.24Apr 9, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka$461.63Apr 9, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?$302.49Apr 9, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?$181.75Apr 9, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?$84.36Apr 9, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?$792.67Apr 9, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?$653.73Apr 9, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?$859.32Apr 9, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Witch" this week? (April 12)$27.90Apr 9, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Witch" this week? (April 12)$54.60Apr 9, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$167.76Apr 9, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$59.04Apr 9, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$408.54Apr 7, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?$613.80Apr 7, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?$466.95Apr 7, 17:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $234.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 14:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 10:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".