Determined-Slaw
0x4fdf7eef165deeb93605ada5a4feed1a3e714452
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$3.3K
Total PnL
$-285.13
Realised
$-6.27
Win rate
65%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
697 shares @ 89.3¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$641.51
$18.84
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
500 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$437.50
$-2.50
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
300 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$283.50
$4.50
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
300 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$271.65
$-1.35
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?
24133 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$253.40
$-48.58
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
642 shares @ 36.3¢·now 35.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$230.42
$-2.41
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
200 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$185.69
$3.70
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
7029 shares @ 4.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$144.10
$-165.44
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
495 shares @ 33.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$141.03
$-22.32
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
2037 shares @ 7.1¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$122.24
$-22.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.32May 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.08May 18, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.79May 18, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.54May 18, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.31May 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?$5.56May 18, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.27May 18, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.41May 18, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.40May 18, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.23May 18, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?$6.29May 18, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?$23.61May 18, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.87May 18, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.24May 18, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.70May 18, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.14May 18, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.43May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.88May 18, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.29May 18, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.77May 18, 04:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 01:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".