Severe-Prostacyclin
0x5004f9b65be614ee88cd37526e294da6a2ddbdad
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-62.28
Realised
$22.35
Win rate
90%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
168 shares @ 85.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$152.04
$8.74
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
120 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$118.26
$0.87
- NO
Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?
102 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$100.52
$-0.46
- NO
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
102 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$100.42
$-0.15
- NO
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
104 shares @ 96.5¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$100.42
$0.05
- NO
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
102 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$100.32
$0.05
- NO
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?
100 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$100.00
$1.20
- NO
Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?
101 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.97
$-0.33
- NO
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.54
$2.09
- NO
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$98.85
$1.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$26.15May 18, 07:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$48.98May 17, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.81May 17, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$50.00May 17, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$50.55May 17, 11:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$93.00May 16, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$47.00May 16, 00:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$98.80May 15, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$47.10May 15, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$98.60May 15, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$95.00May 15, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?$60.58May 15, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$50.60May 15, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?$1.81May 15, 13:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$49.00May 14, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$201.00May 14, 11:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $51.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 14:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".